Saturday, June 13, 2009

Iran not as smart as we thought

Iran wants a nuke. We (and Israel) don't want them to have one. But they're really close. All they need is time and space.

And they just gakked an opportunity to buy a little bit of both. And they gakked it because they're stubborn... stubborn on a scale even the worst George W Bush hater never could have imagined George himself could be.

They just couldn't stand to let the world think they were giving in to the United States... even if they really didn't even mean it.

Think about it. The Americans elect a young good looking President preaching a new openess to dealing with recalcitrant regimes like Iran. What Iran needed to get that time and space, was to give this new young President a reason to lay off them for a while.

And this new young President needed something from Iran. He needed to show that his new kinder gentler way of doing things was yielding results. If he could have gotten that, he would have given Iran time and space.

Now along comes a reform candidate who isn't really a reform candidate at all, to challenge Ahmadinejad for the Presidency. Now we all know the Iranian President carries no real power, and anyway, this supposedly more moderate candidate is really no more moderate than the current President... he's just a little less obnoxiuos in public.

Alll the Mullahs had to do, was let this "reform" candidate win, and the ENTIRE world would have said "LOOK! The Iranians are being reasonable... let's ley off them for a while."

TIME.

And if Israel, who are just itching to bomb the Iranian nucvlear facilities before they go live, had gone ahewad and bombed anyway, the entire world would have said "How dare you Israel... they were coming around. They dumped Ahmadinejad. They were changing. You should have just left them alone."

SPACE.

But now Ahmadinejad has won, and nothing at all has changed. And on some day in the near future, we will wake up to find that Israel has bombed Iran and most of the world will find itself at war.

All because the Mullahs couldn't stand it that the world might look at them and think that they actred out of weakness. Not even for one second could they stand that.

The Iranian government is not half as smart as we've worried they might be.

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